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Post-war military analysis
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Although it was said at the time that Iraqi troops numbered approximately
545,000 (even 600,000) today most experts think that both the qualitative
and quantitative descriptions of the Iraqi Army at the time were
exaggerated, as they included both temporary and auxiliary support
elements. Many of the Iraqi troops were also young, under-resourced and
poorly trained conscripts. The Coalition committed approximately 540,000
troops. In addition to these, a further 100,000 Turkish troops were
deployed along the common border of Turkey and Iraq. This caused
significant force dilution of the Iraqi military by forcing it to deploy
its forces along all its borders. This allowed the main thrust by the
Americans to not only possess a significant technological advantage but
also a superiority in force numbers.
Saddam Hussein bought military equipment from almost every major dealer of
the World's weapons market. This resulted in a lack of standardization in
this large heterogeneous force, which additionally suffered from poor
training and poor motivation. The majority of Iraqi armored forces still
used old Chinese Type-59s and Type-69s, Soviet-made T-55s from the 1950s
and 1960s, and some T-72s from the 1970s in 1991. These machines were not
equipped with up-to-date equipment, like thermal sight or laser
rangefinder, and their effectiveness in modern combat was very limited.
The Iraqis failed to find an effective countermeasure to the thermal
sights and the sabot rounds used by the M1 Abrams, Challenger 1 and the
other Coalition tanks. This equipment enabled Coalition tanks to
effectively engage and destroy Iraqi tanks from more than three times the
distance that Iraqi tanks could engage. The Iraqi tank crews used old,
cheap steel penitrators against the advanced Chobham Armour of these
American and British tanks, with disastrous results. The Iraqi forces also
failed to utilize the advantage that could be gained from using urban
warfare — fighting within Kuwait City — which could have inflicted
significant casualties on the attacking forces. Urban combat reduces the
range at which fighting occurs and can negate some of the technological
advantage that well equipped forces enjoy. Iraqis also tried to copy the
Soviet doctrine from the 1950s of mass attacks, but the implementation
failed due to the lack of skill of their commanders and the preventive air
strikes of the U.S. Air Force on communication centers and bunkers.
The end of active hostilities
A peace conference was held in Iraqi territory occupied by the coalition.
At the conference, Iraq won the approval of the use of armed helicopters
on their side of the temporary border, ostensibly for government transit
due to the damage done to civilian transportation. Soon after, these
helicopters, and much of the Iraqi armed forces, were refocused toward
fighting against a Shiite uprising in the south. The rebellions were
encouraged on 2 February 1991 by a broadcast on CIA run radio station The
Voice of Free Iraq broadcasting out of Saudi Arabia. The Arabic service of
the Voice of America supported the uprising by stating that the rebellion
was large and that they soon would be liberated from Hussein.
In the North, Kurdish leaders took heart in American statements that they
would support an uprising and began fighting, in the hopes of triggering a
coup. However, when no American support was forthcoming, Iraqi generals
remained loyal and brutally crushed the Kurdish troops. Millions of Kurds
fled across the mountains to Kurdish areas of Turkey and Iran. These
incidents would later result in no-fly zones being established in both the
North and the South of Iraq. In Kuwait, the Emir was restored and
suspected Iraqi collaborators were repressed. Eventually, over 400,000
people were expelled from the country, including a large number of
Palestinians (due to their support of and collaboration with Hussein).
There was some criticism of the Bush administration for its decision to
allow Saddam Hussein to remain in power, rather than pushing on to capture
Baghdad and overthrowing his government. In their co-written 1998 book, A
World Transformed, Bush and Brent Scowcroft argued that such a course
would have fractured the alliance and would have had many unnecessary
political and human costs associated with it.
In 1992, the United States Secretary of Defense during the war, Dick
Cheney, made the same point:
"I would guess if we had gone in there, I would still have forces in
Baghdad today. We'd be running the country. We would not have been able to
get everybody out and bring everybody home.
And the final point that I think needs to be made is this question of
casualties. I don't think you could have done all of that without
significant additional U.S. casualties, and while everybody was
tremendously impressed with the low cost of the (1991) conflict, for the
146 Americans who were killed in action and for their families, it wasn't
a cheap war.
And the question in my mind is, how many additional American casualties is
Saddam (Hussein) worth? And the answer is, not that damned many. So, I
think we got it right, both when we decided to expel him from Kuwait, but
also when the President made the decision that we'd achieved our
objectives and we were not going to go get bogged down in the problems of
trying to take over and govern Iraq."
Instead of greater involvement of its own military, the United States
hoped that Saddam Hussein would be overthrown in an internal coup. The
Central Intelligence Agency used its assets in Iraq to organize a revolt,
but the Iraqi government defeated the effort.
On March 10, 1991, Operation Desert Storm began to move 540,000 American
troops out of the Persian Gulf.
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