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The U.S. Role Grows
By the middle of 1960 it
was apparent that the South Vietnamese army and security forces could not
cope with the new threat. During the last half of 1959, VC-initiated
ambushes and attacks on posts averaged well over 100 a month. In the next
year 2,500 government functionaries and other real and imagined enemies of
the Viet Cong were assassinated. It took some time for the new situation to
be recognized in Saigon and Washington. Only after four VC companies had
attacked and overrun an ARVN regimental headquarters northeast of Saigon in
January 1960 did Americans in Vietnam begin to plan for increased U.S. aid
to Diem. They also began to search for ways to persuade Diem to reform and
reorganize his government—a search that would prove futil
To the new administration
of U.S. President John F. Kennedy, who took
office in 1961, Vietnam represented both a
challenge and an opportunity. The Viet Cong's armed struggle against Diem
seemed to be a prime example of the new Chinese and Soviet strategy of
encouraging and aiding “wars of national liberation” in newly independent
nations of Asia and Africa—in other words, helping communist-led
insurgencies to subvert and overthrow the shaky new governments of emerging
nations. Kennedy and some of his close advisers believed that Vietnam
presented an opportunity to test the United States' ability to conduct a
“counterinsurgency” against communist subversion and guerrilla warfare.
Kennedy accepted without serious question the so-called domino theory, which held that the fates of all Southeast Asian
countries were closely linked and that a communist success in one must
necessarily lead to the fatal weakening of the others. A successful effort
in Vietnam—in Kennedy's words, “the cornerstone of the free world in
Southeast Asia”—would provide to both allies and adversaries evidence of
U.S. determination to meet the challenge of communist expansion in the Third
World.
Though never doubting
Vietnam's importance, the new president was obliged, during much of his
first year in office, to deal with far more pressing issues—the construction
of the Berlin Wall, conflicts between the Laotian government and the
communist-led Pathet Lao, and the humiliating failure of the Bay of Pigs invasion of Cuba. Because of these other, more widely
known crises, it seemed to some of Kennedy's advisers all the more important
to score some sort of success in Vietnam. Success seemed urgently needed as
membership in the NLF continued to climb,
military setbacks to the ARVN continued, and
the rate of infiltration from the North increased. U.S. intelligence
estimated that in 1960 about 4,000 communist cadres infiltrated from the
North; by 1962 the total had risen to some 12,900. Most of these men were
natives of South Vietnam who had been regrouped to the North after Geneva.
More than half were Communist Party members. Hardened and experienced
leaders, they provided a framework around which the PLAF could be organized.
To arm and equip their growing forces in the South, Hanoi leaders sent
crew-served weapons and ammunition in steel-hulled motor junks down the coast of Vietnam and also through Laos via a
network of tracks known as the Ho Chi Minh Trail. But most of the firearms for PLAF soldiers
actually came from the United States: large quantities of American rifles,
carbines, machine guns, and mortars were captured from Saigon's armed forces
or simply sold to the Viet Cong by Diem's corrupt officers and
functionaries.
Many of the South's
problems could be attributed to the continuing incompetence, rigidity, and
corruption of the Diem
regime, but the South Vietnamese president
had few American critics in Saigon or Washington. Instead, the U.S.
administration made great efforts to reassure Diem of its support,
dispatching Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson to Saigon in May 1961 and boosting economic and
military aid.
As the situation
continued to deteriorate, Kennedy sent two key advisers, economist W.W. Rostow and former army chief of staff Maxwell Taylor, to Vietnam in the fall of 1961 to assess
conditions. The two concluded that the South Vietnamese government was
losing the war with the Viet Cong and had neither the will nor the ability
to turn the tide on its own. They recommended a greatly expanded program of
military assistance, including such items as helicopters and armoured
personnel carriers, and an ambitious plan to place American advisers and
technical experts at all levels and in all agencies of the Vietnamese
government and military. They also recommended the introduction of a limited
number of U.S. combat troops, a measure the Joint Chiefs of Staff had been
urging as well.
Well aware of the
domestic political consequences of “losing” another country to the
communists, Kennedy could see no viable exit from Vietnam, but he also was
reluctant to commit combat troops to a war in Southeast Asia. Instead, the
administration proceeded with vigour and enthusiasm to carry out the
expansive program of aid and guidance proposed in the Rostow-Taylor report.
A new four-star general's position—commander, U.S. Military Assistance
Command Vietnam (USMACV)—was established in Saigon to guide the military
assistance effort. The number of U.S. military personnel in Vietnam, less
than 800 throughout the 1950s, rose to about 9,000 by the middle of 1962.
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